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Apr 25, 2024
If unlocked ONLY 1 person will ADDITIONALLY GET :
50 units purchased: Heaven VII ($599 value) [LOCKED] (Lucky 1)
75 units purchased: Heaven VIII ($699 value) [LOCKED](Lucky 1)
100 units purchased: FI-BA-SS ($999 value) [LOCKED](Lucky 1)
Wanted to clear up the confusion here. When the drop ends, 45% of the total number sold will be Heaven IV, 30% Heaven V, 20% Heaven V Aging, and 5% Heaven VI. Doesn't matter how many that number is, items will be randomly allocated based on those odds.
For the sweetening the pot prizes the chances are 1/total number of participants, so if we sell out the drop the chances of receiving one of those are 3/100.
First a question, will it be disclosed how many of each headphone are distributed to buyers of this drop? (I like transparency that reassures me that there's no funny business going on).
Second a suggestion, I think a better way to do this would be a faux randomness. Specifically since this drop is limited to 100 people then you should give out exactly 5 Heaven VI, 20 Heaven V aging, 30, Heaven 5, and 45 heaven IV, and randomly select who gets what (the 3 higher "prizes" can be taken out of the Heaven IV quota).
To me that sounds more fair than telling us that we have a 5% chance of getting a Heaven VI and then no one gets one because the random machine didn't roll that for someone.
In response to this you might say something like "blah blah X reason we can't do exact quotas" and I would say that there is already an exact quota of 1 each for the higher end prize headphones.
Thanks for reading.
It wont be just a random number generator for each set because like you said, it would be possible no one receives a pair of Heaven VIs, but in theory all 100 could also turn up to be Heaven VI's (although statistically very unlikely with a probability of 0.05^100). Massdrop (or any business minded organization for that fact) wouldn't run their grab bags like this.
What I don't know though is how the prizes are awarded. Like you, I hope it gets taken out of the Heaven IV stock since that ups everyone's chances at a nicer set of IEMs.
"Doesn't matter how many that number is, items will be randomly allocated based on those odds."
To me that clearly states that the number of each are NOT set. Since they said the placed the order to FAD already who gets what has apparently been decided, but based on that quote I believe my post above is correct.
Edit: but you are still right about the "prizes." if they take out a Heaven VI from the lot to replace it with the prizes I feel like that is a bit scammy. I feel like the final count of actual IEMs distributed should be 42 Heaven IVs' instead of 45 and the rest remain the same.
If they were, in fact, going to give out a set number of each item, they did not allow for where the 3 top prizes fit in. If that was the case they probably would have told us how that worked, instead he wrote that second sentence to clearly tell us that the 3 top prizes will be randomly allocated, and the rest will be randomly allocated based on the % odds he gave, hence I was concerned, given the small % for the Heaven VI.
But I'm sure I'm just talking to a brick wall here and you are going to believe whatever you want until a Massdrop employee comes back on here and tells you I'm right (which I'm pretty sure I am, the second sentence seems definitive). This is my last post on the topic, bye.