To negotiate the best possible price for our customers, we agree to hide prices prior to logging in.
2.1K requests
·
4k Sold
Product Description
Looking for a pair of IEMs that deliver powerful sound? We’re partnering with Sennheiser to offer an exclusive grab bag of goodies, featuring well-reviewed products that pack a heck of a punch for the price Read More
I will be happy even if I just get CX1, and feel in no way entitled to more than that, but I would like to point out after seeing the winners, that this was very misleading
"Every 500 units purchased: CEntrance DACport Slim ($99 value) [UNLOCKED]"
Which would imply that we should have had at least 4 of those given out since we unlocked the TH-X00, I think we even broke 2500 which would be 5. You know, since it says Every 500 units ("Every" being the key word here), and 2500/500 = 5.
PanAndCakesUsually, you KNOW that the value of EVERY option is greater than what you are paying, but on this drop, it seems the cheapest pair of IEMs are available for only $20 shipped. Anyways, I still think I will buy in...
You are right, massdrop is selling raffle tickets, and that does make the little kid in me come out a little, but lets say you can get the 2.00 for 40 bucks, your spending 28.50 for said chance at a certain iem. Well there is a 60 percent chance that you get one that costs 20 (regardless of my opinion on the company selling it) that is a potential loss of 9 bucks, and there is 30 percent chance of a gain of 12 bucks assuming the 40 for 2.00 and then the 10 percent chance that you get the 5.00 which is 60 bucks (I need the andriod version, its only 50 if ios is your system of choice) on amazon. That makes it a 30 dollar gain. Since I am buying two to break even, roughly I would need to receive one 1.00 (-9) and one 2.00 (+12), there is a 60 percent chance of that occurring because two 30% chances of receiving one 2.00 over the 2 purchases. Then there is also the possibility that I could luck out and get one of 5.00 (+30) and one 1.00(-9) and there is a 20 percent chance of that due to the two 10% chances, and 60% +20% is 80, and while that is not perfect math due to the possibility of two 2.00 and two 5.00 and one 5.00 and one 2.00 and the 1/2000 chance of one of those extra prizes, but it is pretty close. Pretty much if you got two there is a 20% chance of an 18$ "loss" a 60 percent chance of a 3 dollar "gain", and a 20 percent chance of a 21 dollar "gain" So overall there is at least a break even or a bit of a discount with this drop. (plus everything comes in retail packaging which some people care about and is more expensive to ship in). So its not like its a game of craps, they are not out to steal ignorant peoples money, they are saving everyone as a whole money (not much but ill take what I can get :) ). Of course there will be some people that could have done better else wise if they wanted to but its not like its a complete ripoff either.
Sorry for the block of text but i just wanted to explain my logic, I was not assuming chances doubled when prices doubled.
Cheers,
David
if you want the true chances of two orders here they are:
36% chance of loss of ~18 2x1.00
36% chance of gain of ~3 1x1.00 1x2.00
12% chance of gain of ~21 1x1.00 1x5.00
9% chance gain of ~24 2x2.00
6% chance gain of ~42 1x2.00 1x5.00
1% chance gain of ~60 2x5.00
this averages out to a gain of ~$1.20 per order or $2.40 per order of two (this will be more like 5.40 because i didn't account for the cheaper shipping on the second pair)
(there is a .1% (.05% per order) chance of receiving one of the more expensive items but i didn't bother with the math)
Warning: ive said this on several blueboxes. The value of the earphones is put on the box, NOT the price you pay here. This can cause extra costs with like taxes and stuff. Be warned.
Still, its a good point. The CX 3.00 are only $3 more on Amazon and better than 90% of this drop. For $28 and change you have 100% chance of getting headphones better than the CX 1.00 and 2.00.
Its a bad gamble.